Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 208.307327 241.861100 280.334881 327.988393 385.803939 454.154929 541.786174
2025-09-07 163.570391 205.734749 259.094947 332.623925 432.974344 567.622134 766.284709
2025-09-14 132.504888 175.377599 233.211104 318.782687 445.440156 631.477360 936.259810
2025-09-21 115.378911 159.102971 221.229290 318.760264 473.459741 719.437092 1162.557166
2025-09-28 103.351804 147.534581 213.151997 321.596471 504.485320 817.005887 1432.393781
2025-10-05 98.040535 144.737925 217.164020 343.159682 569.334671 985.958623 1888.694778
2025-10-12 92.854680 141.213479 219.170523 361.234921 631.382559 1165.601215 2436.351215
2025-10-19 84.947563 132.227718 210.804288 359.418156 655.584471 1276.814551 2877.249450
2025-10-26 80.250081 127.906284 209.618316 370.234276 706.520925 1458.005547 3572.288976
2025-11-02 75.295897 122.528388 205.777254 375.151311 746.031907 1624.835141 4313.672389
2025-11-09 71.125284 118.032052 202.898226 381.369876 789.602465 1814.790136 5231.663810
2025-11-16 66.675091 112.551881 197.478102 381.381239 818.822860 1977.197054 6160.475476
2025-11-23 62.064427 106.791250 191.752624 381.963632 855.294028 2189.271044 7497.475608
2025-11-30 58.355370 102.398755 188.319644 387.485502 907.369153 2474.656728 9425.942790
2025-12-07 52.988210 94.239541 176.203329 370.848432 896.340052 2559.018114 10549.976154
2025-12-14 49.730339 89.877134 171.420877 370.821486 931.828370 2817.109385 12861.695341
2025-12-21 47.099543 86.489164 168.269107 374.228104 978.593856 3140.914228 16013.716950
2025-12-28 46.406279 86.963280 173.567208 400.166012 1102.966939 3838.927560 22877.788880
2026-01-04 45.384083 86.630745 177.000139 421.958414 1222.369864 4603.155903 32173.491215
2026-01-11 42.877029 82.875881 172.060826 419.766023 1259.176534 5017.345731 39517.400170
2026-01-18 41.497753 81.439663 172.424474 432.824939 1356.307094 5809.574281 53672.199105
2026-01-25 39.811836 79.162464 170.477437 438.766674 1429.339231 6538.541587 70333.296908
2026-02-01 38.332076 77.213008 169.111050 446.285688 1512.279919 7406.867848 94029.771286